CIMB Research Summary - 25 Nov 2014

Westports Holdings - Explosive catalysts on the horizon
Westports’ share price may be driven up in the months ahead by three potential catalysts: the start of the Ocean Three alliance, the renewal of the Investment Tax Allowance, and government approval to raise port tariffs. Westports is our top pick in the Malaysian transport space. We initiate Westports with an Add call and a probability-weighted DCF target price of RM4.57, incorporating different scenarios of the timing and quantum of the tariff hike. We expect the core EBIT 3-year CAGR of 10% to rise to 17% if port tariffs are raised 30% on 1 January 2016.

Petronas Dagangan - Fuel up!
Contrary to what the market thinks, the government’s decision to put RON95 petrol and diesel on a managed float system is positive for petroleum retailers, including PetDag. The managed float system will lead to the removal of subsidy receivables, thus potentially improving PetDag’s cash flow. Also, the automatic pricing mechanism (APM) remains in place, ensuring PetDag a fixed company margin of 5 sen/litre. In view of the sharp share price fall since the managed float system was announced on 21 Nov, we upgrade our call from Hold to a trading-oriented, non-consensus Add while maintaining our forecasts and target price. We continue to value the stock at 21.2x CY16 P/E, still at a 30% premium over our target market P/E of 16.3x.

Axiata Group - Celcom yet to regain footing
Axiata’s 3Q14 core net profit fell 15.2% qoq (-35.4% yoy). This missed our expectations, with 9M14 core net profit at 66%/69% of our/consensus full-year forecast. As expected, no dividends were declared for 3Q14. We cut our FY14-16 core net profit by 8-13% for weaker-than-expected Celcom and associate earnings, plus much higher depreciation. Our SOP-based target price is cut by 1.4% to RM7.10. With rebounds expected at Celcom and XL, we see stronger earnings for Axiata in FY15; though consensus numbers appear to have factored this in. Axiata is now guiding for steady to marginally higher capex in FY15, which is possibly a negative surprise for the market. Still, Axiata is our preferred Malaysian telco pick for its earnings recovery story.

Affin Holdings - Not taking full advantage of rate hike

Petronas Gas - Pengerang to drive excitement

Signature International - Gaining momentum

Uchi Technologies - A stronger brew

UMW Oil & Gas - Bigger fleet oils the way to record quarter and maiden dividend
WCT Holdings - Weighed down by property

Economic Update - Sep leading index holds steady

Research Summary: 20 August 2014

Research Summary: 20 August 2014

Research House	Type	Company/Sector	Report Title	Rating/Call	Target
RHB	Company update	Tune Ins	Integrating its associate business in Thailand	Buy	RM3.00
RHB	Sector update	Auto	Non-national marques gain market share	Neutral
RHB	Results preview	AirAsia	Look beyond this 2QFY14 earnings	Buy	RM2.78
RHB	Results review	Matrix	Property sales pick up in 2Q	Buy	RM3.80
RHB	News flash	Bumi Armada	Nine FPSO and counting	Buy	RM4.54
RHB	Results review	Perdana Petroleum	Bright prospects ahead	Buy	RM2.20
RHB	Results review	Tambun Indah	High property demand in Pearl City	Buy	RM3.00
RHB	Results review	TH Plantations	Expect a stronger 2H2014	Neutral	RM2.06
RHB	Results review	MBM Resources	Light at the end of the tunnel?	Neutral	RM2.88
RHB	Results review	AirAsiaX	Going through a tough period	Sell	RM0.68
CIMB	Flash note	Tune Ins	Tuning up the volume in 2H14	Add	RM2.71
CIMB	Results note	Perdana Petroleum	Counting ship	Add	RM2.40
CIMB	Results note	Uchi Technologies	Weaker coffee brew	Hold	RM1.35
CIMB	Results note	AirAsiaX	Losses can’t get any worse but…	Reduce	RM0.72
Maybank	Results review	AirAsiaX	On a wing and a prayer	Sell	RM0.72
Maybank	Results review	Perdana Petroleum	1H14 results in line	Buy	RM2.55
Maybank	Results review	MBM Resources	2Q14: within radar	Buy	RM3.60
Maybank	Results review	TH Plantations	Bogged down by higher cost	Sell	RM1.65
Maybank	Sector	Automotive	Seasonally stronger 2H begins	Overweight
Maybank	Company update	Bumi Armada	Secures LOI for FPSO Madura	Buy	RM4.55
Maybank	Technical	IHH		Short-term buy
Kenanga	Sector update	Automotive	Slowing down	Neutral
Kenanga	Results note	Perdana Petroleum	Stable 2Q14 results	Outperform	RM2.47
Kenanga	Results note	MBM Resources	Within expectations	Underperform	RM2.92
Kenanga	Results note	Matrix	Steady performance	Under review	Under review
Kenanga	Quick bites	Parkson	Divestment of Festival City Mall for RM349m	Underperform	RM2.48
Kenanga	Company update	Maxis	Still transforming	Market perform	RM6.87
HL	Sector	Automotive	Continuous sales momentum in July	Overweight
HL	Results review	Tambun Indah	Sustainbale demand underpins healthy sales	Buy	RM2.60
HL	Results review	Matrix	Results on the rebound	Buy	RM3.74
HL	Results review	Perdana Petroleum	Sustainable growth	Buy	RM2.18
HL	Results review	MBM Resources	In line – expect stronger 2H14	Buy	RM4.00
HL	Newsbreak	Bumi Armada	Madura landed	Buy	RM4.70